Right Field

Reveille 11/24/14

Good morning.

First, a brief comment:

When evaluating the free-agent landscape for the Bronx Bombers, keep in mind that, for the first time since Brian Cashman assumed the role of general manager in 1996, the Yankees no longer have all that much to offer, other than a healthier Masahiro Tanaka and Michael Piñeda, an upgrade at shortstop (yeah, I said it . . . again), and at least modest improvements from Carlos Beltran and Brian McCann. Oh yeah, and A-Rod.

Once upon a time, the Yankees were able to lure top free agents by bundling offers of riches no team could match with promises of October baseball. 

No longer. 

Several other franchises appear to be making credible runs at either Jon Lester or Max Scherzer, this offseason’s marquee names.

So what’s the selling point today? If a premier free agent wants to play for a winner, the Tigers, Cardinals, Orioles, and Nationals expect to be the favorites in their respective divisions next season. If he wants to play for the green, the Red Sox and Dodgers have among the deepest pockets in the game. If he desires a little of both, I’m pretty sure Arte Moreno and the Angels can’t wait to meet him.

Before shouting in response, “It’s New York! It’s playing in the House That Ruth Matsui Built! It’s Madison Avenue!” keep in mind that being a part of a winning team is, first and foremost, what makes the Bronx a coveted place to play. (Come on, don’t tell me you fail to recall the good ol’ days when George Steinbrenner was making rather loud noises about moving the team to Jersey?)

To be clear, I’m not saying Cashman has no chance of signing either player. Only that it’s no longer a foregone conclusion.

And with that . . . here are several links from the past week that will make your Monday at the office a bit more bearable: 

The single biggest hurdle between Swisher and productivity in 2015 is health. His season ended in August as both his knees gave him trouble all season long, a problem he first observed towards the end of Spring Training. In the end, he required “debridements” in both his knees, cleaning up all manner of mess and scar tissue. How much did Swisher’s physical issues contribute to the worst season of his career?

It’s easy to dismiss everything as a product of a weakened lower half, but a rough 2014 together with his 2013 season suggests a player in decline. just not as steep as he fell off last year. The uptick in strikeouts — and subsequent drop in walk rate — is the ledge upon which his entire bounce-back teeters.

Swisher’s increasing whiff rate as the year went on, coupled with the increase in breaking balls thrown his way, is a matter of perspective. A sympathetic soul might chalk all his struggles up to injury. A weakened base slowed his bat, causing him to cheat on the fastball and leaving him exposed to the larger doses of breaking balls. If he’s healthy and able to produce more rotation with his lower half, suddenly he has a quicker bat and voila! Swisher’s fixed! He did chase more in 2014, a fact the optimists among us happily brush under the injury rug.

On top of more strikeouts, fewer walks, and more chases, Swisher managed to hit more pop-ups and generally made worse contact as the year wore on and his knees wore down. Suddenly there is a mounting pile of evidence suggesting this hitter just isn’t that great anymore. Any expected regression gets held down by the weight of rapidly deteriorating 

 

https://twitter.com/keithlaw/status/532730673040486401

 

That’s it. Have a walk-off week!

Jason Epstein is the president of Southfive Strategies, LLC. He was a public-relations consultant for the Turkish embassy in Washington from 2002 to 2007.
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