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Trump ahead in Five Swing States, Voters Resent Biden Policies: Poll

Left: President Joe Biden at the White House January 5, 2023. Right: Then-president Donald Trump at the White House in 2020. (Kevin Lamarque, Leah Millis/Reuters)

Former president Trump is leading President Biden in five of the six most critical swing states in the 2024 race, with voters finding the country in shambles under the current administration and resenting its policies.

According to the survey, Trump leads Biden by ten points in Nevada, six points in Georgia, five points in Arizona, five points in Michigan, and four points in Pennsylvania — Biden maintains a lead of two points in Wisconsin. The polling was conducted by a Times/Siena College poll of 3,662 registered voters conducted from October 22 to November 3.

Voter sentiments surrounding the incumbent’s performance are poor, with 59 percent either strongly or somewhat disapproving. Overall, 67 percent said the U.S. is headed in the wrong direction. Of the respondents, 49 percent said there’s hardly any chance they support Biden in the next general election, while 46 percent said the same of Trump.

Economic issues such as jobs, taxes, or the cost of living ranked as the highest importance for voters at 57 percent. Similarly, voters’ assessment of the economy showed that 52 percent believe it is in bad condition.

On “immigration, national security, and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,” voters by double-digit margins trust Trump to do a better job. However, voters trust Biden more to handle the abortion issue by nine points, as well as general “democracy” by three points.

The poll also indicated anxiety around Biden’s perceived frailty, with 71 percent agreeing strongly or somewhat that the 80-year-old is too elderly to be an effective president and 62 percent saying he lacks the mental sharpness for the role. On the other hand, only 39 percent believe the same about Trump’s age, 77.

While most voters still dislike Trump’s temperament and personality, they also said that Biden’s policies have hurt them personally. As for Trump’s policies, 51 percent of respondents said they’ve helped them personally.

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