The Corner

Politics & Policy

Voters Are Becoming More Skeptical of Transgenderism, Polling Suggests

Pew Research is out with some new figures on gender identity, sexual orientation, and the 2024 election:

Nearly two-thirds of registered voters (65%) say whether a person is a man or woman is determined by the sex assigned to them at birth. About a third (34%) say whether someone is a man or woman can be different from the sex at birth.

This is up from 53 percent of voters in 2017:

The share of Republican and Republican-leaning voters who say that sex at birth determines gender identity has grown from 79% in 2017 to 91% now.

In the same period, the share of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters who say this has increased, from 30% to 39%.

Among black Biden voters, 64 percent “say gender is determined by a person’s sex assigned at birth,” as do 46 percent of Biden-supporting Hispanics.

Another interesting, if not surprising, detail is that Biden supporters without college degrees (47 percent) are more likely than those with degrees (30 percent) to “say sex at birth determines someone’s gender.” A reminder of Orwell’s observation that some ideas are so stupid that only intellectuals believe them.

Madeleine Kearns is a former staff writer at National Review and a visiting fellow at the Independent Women’s Forum.
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