The new NBC News poll has Harris falling back into a tie with Trump, 48–48. CBS and ABC have her still leading. Clearly, from now until Election Day we are going to see national polling and polling in the swing states that has one or the other ahead but always within the margin of error.
It is notable, though, that Harris is becoming less popular, according to the NBC poll:
Another significant change in the NBC News poll since September is Harris’ popularity.
One of the major developments in September’s NBC News poll, conducted after the Harris-Trump debate on Sept. 10, was her double-digit increase in popularity compared to earlier in the summer, before she became Democrats’ presidential candidate. Her ratings shot upward to 48% positive, 45% negative (a +3 net rating).
But in this latest poll, Harris’ rating stands at 43% positive, 49% negative (-6), with the erosion coming mainly from independents and young voters.
That’s not too far removed from Trump’s 43% positive, 51% negative score (-8) in this same poll. That positive rating is Trump’s highest in the NBC News poll since he left office.
The ABC poll also has her losing three points in favorability.
Harris ascended on a rocket ship when she replaced Biden, but it has stalled out and descended a few miles back toward Earth.