Quinnipiac polled Ohio voters.
Sen. Hillary Clinton holds a three-to-one lead over any Democrat and has a razor-thin lead over leading Republican presidential candidates in the key state of Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
In general election matchups, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds:
Sen. Clinton squeaks by Arizona Sen. John McCain 46 – 42 percent;
Clinton inches by former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani 46 – 43 percent;
Clinton tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 52 – 31 percent;
McCain edges Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 41 – 38 percent;
Former Vice Presidential candidate John Edwards edges McCain 44 – 41 percent.
Giuliani leads McCain 30 – 22 percent among Ohio Republicans. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets 11 percent and Romney gets 4 percent.
Among Ohio Democrats, 38 percent pick Clinton, followed by 13 percent for Obama, 11 percent for Edwards and 6 percent for former Vice President Al Gore.
“Those who say Sen. Hillary Clinton can’t win the White House because she can’t win a key swing state like Ohio might rethink their assumption,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “While it’s a long way – 21 months – to Election Day, these numbers indicate that at this point she is very competitive in Ohio.”
To be honest, Mr. Brown, I’m a bit skeptical of any conclusions drawn from 3 or 4 point leads this far out. The only matchup with a statistically significant gap is the Hillary-Romney matchup, and Mitt has much lower name recognition. The nominees of both parties will have something approaching 100 percent name recognition by Election Day 2008.
Among the top contenders, Sen. Clinton has by far the largest bloc of voters who don’t like her, with a 49 – 38 percent favorability. By comparison, Obama’s favorability is 35 – 12 percent, but 52 percent say they don’t know enough to form an opinion. Edwards gets a 46 – 24 percent favorability.